Market Brief: Dollar doves send cable higher
06 Sep 2017
Yesterday saw GBP/USD break the 1.30 level for the first time in a month following some dovish comments from the US Federal Reserve.
| Today's data release | Key levels | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09:10 | EU Eurozone retail PMI |
Support | Resistance | |
| 14:45 | US Services PMI & US composite PMI |
1.2850 | 1.3060 | |
| 15:00 | ISM Non-manufacturing composite |
1.0830 | 1.1049 | |
| 19:00 | Fed’s Beige Book |
|||
Market overview
Traders are taking their final clues before the September 19th-20th policy meeting and three speakers, Brainard, Kashkari and Kaplan, all reiterated their views that the central bank should be cautious about further monetary tightening; Brainard suggesting she was prepared to back the announcement of a reduction of the Fed's $4.5-trillion balance sheet at its September policy meeting, as widely expected. New York Fed president Bill Dudley, another key rate setter, speaks tomorrow. After a disappointing US labour market report on Friday, rate setters have plenty on their minds ahead of their December meeting where, according to CNBC, there is now only a 30% chance of another rate hike.
Also weighing on the dollar is the geopolitical situation which is continuing to develop around North Korea. There are continuing talks regarding sanctions with Washington calling for the “strongest sanctions” ever imposed on a regime. This is despite increasingly heated warnings from the White House that it was actively weighing military options if North Korea threatened the US or its treaty allies in the region.
On the home front, the latest Services PMI edged back to 53.2 from 53.8. The August print was the weakest outturn since September last year although the employment figure is at a 19 month high. The British Retail Consortium also published their monthly figures which were broadly positive. The figures were helped by a weak August in 2016 but even so point to consumer spending continuing to hold up. Brexit has come back to the forefront over the last week with the next round of talks in progress. David Davis has suggested that the UK and the EU could be arguing about the divorce bill right up until leaving. There was also a leak of the government’s draft immigration plan which included proposals to end free movement of workers on the day the UK leaves. It would impose restrictions on workers in a similar to the way workers from outside the EU are currently.
Also weighing on the dollar is the geopolitical situation which is continuing to develop around North Korea. There are continuing talks regarding sanctions with Washington calling for the “strongest sanctions” ever imposed on a regime. This is despite increasingly heated warnings from the White House that it was actively weighing military options if North Korea threatened the US or its treaty allies in the region.
On the home front, the latest Services PMI edged back to 53.2 from 53.8. The August print was the weakest outturn since September last year although the employment figure is at a 19 month high. The British Retail Consortium also published their monthly figures which were broadly positive. The figures were helped by a weak August in 2016 but even so point to consumer spending continuing to hold up. Brexit has come back to the forefront over the last week with the next round of talks in progress. David Davis has suggested that the UK and the EU could be arguing about the divorce bill right up until leaving. There was also a leak of the government’s draft immigration plan which included proposals to end free movement of workers on the day the UK leaves. It would impose restrictions on workers in a similar to the way workers from outside the EU are currently.