Deal or no deal: what are the chances for each Brexit outcome?

10 Jul 2019

Phil Shaw, Victoria Clarke, Ryan Djajasaputra, George Brown

Investec Economists

With just over 4 months before the UK is scheduled to leave the EU and questions remaining about the future course of sterling, our economists examine the probabilities for each Brexit outcome. 

brexit variants

Source: Brexit outcome probabilities as seen by Investec’s London Economics Team (10/07/2019)

Jonathan Pryor
With the odds still weighted towards a resolution not being found by 31 October we expect GBP to remain under pressure.

Jonathan Pryor, Investec Head of FX sales

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