IR: Africa's role in the overall global energy transition cannot be overstated. Global energy transition can bring sufficient benefits to the continent because the continent holds 30% of the world's mineral reserves that are required for decarbonization to take place in the first place. So, the renewable energy element is just the one piece of this wider, beautiful convergence that we see is taking place at the moment.
I ask Ziyaad Sarang, CIO of Revego Fund Managers, just what's standing in the way of the continent taking advantage of such a large opportunity?
ZS: You need certain characteristics for attracting investment. You need a legislative framework to allow the building of power stations, et cetera. You need property rights to own assets. Those are just the core building blocks of an enabling environment.
You need good regulation. You need attractive financial markets. And if you have those ingredients in place, you're able to attract financing, entrepreneurs, and risk takers. That means you have people coming together, with capital to provide services.
IR: Is there an opportunity for Africa to leapfrog to green industrialisation?
ZS: Absolutely. I like to use the example of the parallel market that developed in mobile phones. And if you look at how mobile phones developed in Africa, it leapfrogged all of the cable technology in the telecoms industry.
I see this parallel for renewable energy. We benefit from the latest technology at the cheapest price. If you look at solar panel prices over the last decade, according to the International Renewable Energy Agency, IRENA, panel prices fell by 82%.
So, you can re-power the grid at a much cheaper rate now than you did 10 years ago. That allows you to put on power very quickly. And from that perspective, do lots of projects at scale, which is absolutely needed.
IR: For Ana, overcoming the infrastructure investment challenges will see South Africa reaping tremendous reward given its positioning within the region.
AH: South Africa sits within the context of this incredibly fast growing and evolving regional energy market environment. And I stress that word ‘regional’.
It's a market environment that has reached a convergence of economic interests between what is required globally on the decarbonization side, and what is required locally when it comes to achieving decarbonization targets. We believe the Southern African Power Pool market, its growth and future integration with East African Power Pool, provides a unique opportunity for South Africa to leverage its access to the regional market for attracting more domestic investment.
So, taking that power ecosystem context into account is really key. South Africa often looks internally and domestically only because of its huge scale and size compared to its neighbors. However, that scale and size of required generation need is very large in the neighboring countries as well.
That will allow South Africa to achieve investment not only in itself, but the investment on an off-balance sheet basis. ie- South Africa should not be replicating the REIPPPP contingent liability impact for new generation and transmission investments because it cannot do so and the realization that there is this limited country fiscal space is what necessitates linking the national investment lens with the regional demand.
IR: One of the ways that Investec is solving for the challenge of building such large-scale projects is by utilizing export credit agency finance. Investec's Brian Irvine looks after a cluster of specialized lending businesses focused on the continent. He explains how the model is particularly well suited to Africa's energy needs.
BI: Over 90% of all infrastructure that is required on the continent are not commercially viable projects. These sovereigns are already highly indebted.
So, it's very difficult to gear and finance these projects off the sovereign's balance sheet. And that's where ECA or Export and Credit Agency Finance as a product brings to bear global capital markets. So, you're financing infrastructure in Africa without taking the Africa risk. And that is how we can mobilize the required capital.
IR: Helping source some of that much needed capital is the $2 billion Acre Investment Fund, the first ever export finance impact fund in Africa, established to work with banks and export credit agencies to finance green and social infrastructure on the continent.
BI: Investec was the first to invest into the fund as a limited partner. So the investment mandate of the fund covers healthcare, green cities, green transportation, renewable energy, et cetera. So very deliberately, and I got to be very clear about this, we, together with the founding partners, deliberately created an open platform fund.
What this means is that it's not Investec's fund. We're just the anchor investor. So, originally, the Pan-Africa Infrastructure Development Group supported Acre and the initiative, followed by FSD Africa. The EIB, European Investment Bank, has come in with a significant contribution.