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Economic Highlights

17 Aug 2020

Economic Highlights

Welcome to our Economic Highlights, bringing you market updates from across the UK, US, Europe and China, as well as the FTSE weekly winners and losers.

UK economics
UK

Despite the headline unemployment rate remaining unchanged, employment fell by 220K in June as uncertainty remains over the UK labour market given the expiry of the government’s furloughed scheme later this year. The UK GDP print for Q2 highlighted confirmed that output fell by -20.4% over the quarter. Monthly GDP data for June was ahead of consensus at 8.7%, however uncertainty remains whether the recent growth spurt starts tapering out.

US economy
US

The US CPI print for July was stronger than expected, with both the headline and underlying print increasing by 0.6% month-on-month – suggesting the downward pressures on the US inflation print is over for now. Following a number of strong prints for retail sales, the ex auto & gas figure for July moderated to 1.5% from an upward revised figure of 7.7% in the previous month.

European economy
Europe

The German ZEW expectation survey came in stronger than expected at 71.5 against an expected figure of 55.8 –suggesting a further recovery in output. Eurozone Q2 GDP came in at -12.1%, with the earlier lockdown and faster release ensuring a significantly smaller drop of output relative to the UK over the quarter.

FTSE 100 Weekly Winners and Losers

Source: FactSet

Year to Date Market Performance

Source: FactSet

Download the Weekly Digest PDF PDF 873.65 KB
Disclaimer
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This newsletter is for professional financial advisers only and is not intended to be a financial promotion for retail clients. The information in this document is for private circulation and is believed to be correct but cannot be guaranteed. Opinions, interpretations and conclusions represent our judgement as of this date and are subject to change. The Company and its related Companies, directors, employees and clients may have positions or engage in transactions in any of the securities mentioned. Past performance is not necessarily a guide to future performance. The value of shares, and the income derived from them, may fall as well as rise. The information contained in this publication does not constitute a personal recommendation and the investment or investment services referred to may not be suitable for all investors. Copyright Investec Wealth & Investment Limited. Reproduction prohibited without permission.

 

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