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War ships moving along the sea

01 Mar 2026

Strait of Hormuz in focus

Callum Macpherson Investec head of commodities

Callum Macpherson | Head of Commodities, Investec UK

In his weekly Energy Market Update podcast, Callum Macpherson discusses what escalating conflict in the Middle East means for global oil.

 

 

Escalation was recognised as a risk, but a large-scale disruption to Gulf shipping was not the base case. Over the weekend, that calculus changed. Insurance premiums on vessels transiting the Strait reportedly rose sharply or were withdrawn, naval assets were targeted, and conflicting statements around whether the Strait remains fully open have left markets navigating extreme uncertainty. 

 

Energy Market Update: Strait of Hormuz in focus: What escalation means for global oil

Brent crude surged above $80 per barrel, after escalating conflict in the Middle East sharply increased fears of disruption through the Strait of Hormuz, one of the world’s most critical oil shipping routes. Just days earlier, Brent had been trading near $73, with markets broadly assuming that US-Iran negotiations would continue.

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Please note: this podcast is provided for information purposes only and should not be construed as an offer, or a solicitation of an offer, to buy or sell financial instruments. These podcasts do not constitute a personal recommendation and are not investment advice.
 

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