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Welcome to the Global Investment View Q4

The Global Investment View distils the thinking of the Global Investment Strategy Group that brings together the insights of Investec Wealth & Investment’s professionals in the UK, South Africa and Switzerland. The Group meets quarterly to map out our outlook over the following 18 months, setting a risk budget and identifying some of the potential icebergs that lie in the global investor’s path.

Download the Global Investment View Q4 | 2025

There has been a strong rally in US and global equities since the June Global Investment Strategy Group meeting. As a result, the US market now trades around 40% above our model estimate of fair value and appears expensive according to every valuation method we employ.

Chris Holdsworth
Chris Holdsworth, Chief Investment Strategist, Investec Wealth & Investment International

While a slowdown in US growth is likely in our view, it is important to recognise that US consumers are far from overleveraged.

Executive view of the quarter

The GISG kept its risk score at -0.5 on a scale of -3 to +3, and the SA risk score was maintained at 1 on a scale of -3 to +3.

Click here to download the Executive Summary Q4 2025.

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